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Thursday, September 18, 2025 at 8:54 AM
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Trump Case Makes No Difference for Swing Voters

The criminal case against former President Donald Trump for allegedly falsifying business records does not appear to be boosting President Joe Biden’s chances in November, with Biden’s once narrow lead over Trump disappearing in new polls.

The criminal case against former President Donald Trump for allegedly falsifying business records does not appear to be boosting President Joe Biden’s chances in November, with Biden’s once narrow lead over Trump disappearing in new polls.

The trial appears to be largely impacting partisans, with Republicans saying they are more likely to support the former president and Democrats saying the opposite. However, the vast majority of independents and swing voters say the trial verdict will have no impact on their vote in November.

The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Biden and Trump tied at 46 percent of the vote each, a departure from Biden’s modest three-point lead in the same poll in March. In March, Biden led Trump 48 percent to 45 percent, but despite Trump’s ongoing criminal trial Biden’s edge has disappeared.

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