In a midterm cycle where President Donald Trump is attempting to wrangle inflation and end a costly foreign conflict, it is reasonable to expect that Democrats would regain ground with swing voters they have lost over the past eight years. However, that does not appear to be happening.
Democrat support from Hispanics is down twenty points since 2022 and a startling thirty points since 2018. New data on young Americans shows Democrats’ lead on the generic congressional ballot has been cut in half since 2018.
While both parties have lost ground with young voters since the 2022 midterm cycle, Democrats have lost ten points in four years. Democrats’ lead in the generic congressional ballot has halved since 2018, declining from a 41-point lead to a 19-point lead.
.png)
