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Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 6:59 PM

Watch Out, J.D. Vance: Economic Turmoil Hurts Incumbents

Good news for Vice President J.D. Vance, or whosoever runs as the Republican nominee in 2028: Only twice in American history has the White House incumbent party lost three elections in a row, and those years were 1844, 1848 and 1852, and then again in 1888, 1892 and 1896.

It wasn’t magic, nor was it coincidence.

In the 1840s, the U.S. experienced three consecutive recessions: one particularly deep depression from 1839 to 1843, another in 1845 to 1846 and yet another in 1847 to 1848.

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