President-elect Donald Trump appears on track to surpass 76 million votes in the 2024 election’s national popular vote after California, Arizona, Nevada and other states are done counting, assuming similar margins for Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in each of the states. Harris for her part could come in around 72.6 million votes.
Factoring for third party candidates — they cumulatively haver garnered about 2.1 million votes, or about 1.5 percent — the final result might show something like Trump at 50.4 percent nationally and Harris 48.1 percent. That’s a mandate to govern for Trump.
And once again, it was a huge miss for national polls. The RealClearPolling.com average prior to the election was 48.7 percent for Harris and 48.6 percent for Trump, and so that would mean Harris was overstated by about 0.6 percent and Trump was understated by about 1.8 percent.
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